Post by Moorestown Big Dogs on Mar 26, 2018 13:43:21 GMT -5
I have gone through the last 3 years of Drafts (15,16,17 - 18 is too recent, no one called up yet) and have tracked how many players from those drafts have made it onto our Active Rosters at this time. If a player made it and has been dropped since then, I have not counted them. I think it helps to know how often a draft pick is likely to pan out, and how long it may take for that to happen.
From the 2015 draft:
6 1st rounders are now active
8 2nd rounders
6 3rd rounders
4 4th rounders
3 5th rounders
I am a bit surprised that there isn't more of a difference between 1st rounders and the other rounds (2nd round actually has more), and only a slight drop off from 2nd through 5th. Maybe 1st round has more 18 year old recent top MLB draft picks.
2016 Draft
9 1st rounders
2 2nd rounders
6 3rd rounders
4 4th rounders
1 5th rounder
We did not do a great job in the 2nd round here, but otherwise a fairly steady decline from top to bottom. I still am surprised at the results with 3rd round picks almost matching 1st. Maybe a difference in the quality but doesn't appear to be at a glance (1st Moncada, Maeda, Swanson, Snell, De Leon, Benintendi, Bregman, Albies, I. Happ, versus 3rd round W. Contreras, M. Fulmer, A. Garrett, Bellinger, J. Polanco, S. Travis)
2017 Draft
0 1st rounders
2 2nd rounders
2 3rd rounders
0 4th rounders
0 5th rounders
Obviously way to early to see much of a pattern here, except the lack of dominance by 1st round picks.
In total we have: 15 1st rounders, 12 2nd rounders, 14 3rd rounders, 8 4th rounders, and 4 5th rounders. So the top 3 rounds together produce about 1 player per team per year, and the last two rounds combine to give us 1 more every 4th year.
From the 2015 draft:
6 1st rounders are now active
8 2nd rounders
6 3rd rounders
4 4th rounders
3 5th rounders
I am a bit surprised that there isn't more of a difference between 1st rounders and the other rounds (2nd round actually has more), and only a slight drop off from 2nd through 5th. Maybe 1st round has more 18 year old recent top MLB draft picks.
2016 Draft
9 1st rounders
2 2nd rounders
6 3rd rounders
4 4th rounders
1 5th rounder
We did not do a great job in the 2nd round here, but otherwise a fairly steady decline from top to bottom. I still am surprised at the results with 3rd round picks almost matching 1st. Maybe a difference in the quality but doesn't appear to be at a glance (1st Moncada, Maeda, Swanson, Snell, De Leon, Benintendi, Bregman, Albies, I. Happ, versus 3rd round W. Contreras, M. Fulmer, A. Garrett, Bellinger, J. Polanco, S. Travis)
2017 Draft
0 1st rounders
2 2nd rounders
2 3rd rounders
0 4th rounders
0 5th rounders
Obviously way to early to see much of a pattern here, except the lack of dominance by 1st round picks.
In total we have: 15 1st rounders, 12 2nd rounders, 14 3rd rounders, 8 4th rounders, and 4 5th rounders. So the top 3 rounds together produce about 1 player per team per year, and the last two rounds combine to give us 1 more every 4th year.