Post by Moorestown Big Dogs on Feb 27, 2020 14:35:05 GMT -5
After doing some research into the escalation of real MLB player's contracts (and yes, I know, we play Fantasy baseball), I recommend removing the 225% increase for the second resigning of a player (followed by 10% each of the other years) and replacing it with a 50% per year increase. As with the current rules, this would only apply to players drafted in 2019 or after (although I would like to see it applied to all players who reached MLB in 2019 or after, even if not drafted as prospects). Then we would return to the regular 50% bump for the year 10 re-sign followed by 10%. Here is some data to help explain:
$3 Call Ups
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13
Current Rules 14.25 15.75 17.50 19.25 29.25 32.25 35.50 39.25
New Recommendation 9.50 14.25 21.50 32.25 48.50 53.50 59.00 65.00 $2 Call Ups
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13
Current Rules 10.25 11.50 12.75 14.25 21.50 23.75 26.25 29.00
New Recommendation 6.75 10.25 15.50 23.25 35.00 38.50 42.50 46.75 $1 Call Ups
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13
Current Rules 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.25 9.50 10.50 11.75 13.00
New Recommendation 3.50 5.25 8.00 12.00 18.00 20.00 22.00 24.25
Now let's bring in the research into how MLB operates, which currently leads to both vigorous Prospect and Free Agent markets. Basically, for a players first 3 years they make very little (if only I could make so little) or about $500,000. After that they have 3 years of arbitration, and then in year 7 become Free Agents. My suggestion replaces arbitration with the 50% bump each year. Here are some recent star players and their salary progressions once they hit arbitration:
Mookie Betts 1 million, 10.5 million, 20 million, 28 million, Free Agency next off season
Nolan Arenado 5 million, 11.75 million, 17.75 million, 26 million, signed for $35 million for 8 years
Bryce Harper 2.5 million, 5 million, 13.5 million, 21.5 million, signed for about 28 million a year for 13 years
Manny Machado 5 million, 11.5 million, 16 million, signed for 30 million a year for 10 years
Gerrit Cole 3.75 million, 6.75 million, 13.5 million, signed for 36 million a year for 9 years
Look less at the actual numbers but rather at the progression. It is not 10% a year, but usually well over 50% a year for the arbitration years. My goal in proposing this is to have more of the star players reach Free Agency in our league during their playing career, and to do it before they are washed up at 36 years old. I think it protects owners who work hard and build through prospects as this actually makes for lower salaries through year 7, but also allows for more room to build through Free Agency as a number of players would likely hit the market between years 8-10.
I look forward to hearing your thoughts.
$3 Call Ups
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13
Current Rules 14.25 15.75 17.50 19.25 29.25 32.25 35.50 39.25
New Recommendation 9.50 14.25 21.50 32.25 48.50 53.50 59.00 65.00 $2 Call Ups
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13
Current Rules 10.25 11.50 12.75 14.25 21.50 23.75 26.25 29.00
New Recommendation 6.75 10.25 15.50 23.25 35.00 38.50 42.50 46.75 $1 Call Ups
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13
Current Rules 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.25 9.50 10.50 11.75 13.00
New Recommendation 3.50 5.25 8.00 12.00 18.00 20.00 22.00 24.25
Now let's bring in the research into how MLB operates, which currently leads to both vigorous Prospect and Free Agent markets. Basically, for a players first 3 years they make very little (if only I could make so little) or about $500,000. After that they have 3 years of arbitration, and then in year 7 become Free Agents. My suggestion replaces arbitration with the 50% bump each year. Here are some recent star players and their salary progressions once they hit arbitration:
Mookie Betts 1 million, 10.5 million, 20 million, 28 million, Free Agency next off season
Nolan Arenado 5 million, 11.75 million, 17.75 million, 26 million, signed for $35 million for 8 years
Bryce Harper 2.5 million, 5 million, 13.5 million, 21.5 million, signed for about 28 million a year for 13 years
Manny Machado 5 million, 11.5 million, 16 million, signed for 30 million a year for 10 years
Gerrit Cole 3.75 million, 6.75 million, 13.5 million, signed for 36 million a year for 9 years
Look less at the actual numbers but rather at the progression. It is not 10% a year, but usually well over 50% a year for the arbitration years. My goal in proposing this is to have more of the star players reach Free Agency in our league during their playing career, and to do it before they are washed up at 36 years old. I think it protects owners who work hard and build through prospects as this actually makes for lower salaries through year 7, but also allows for more room to build through Free Agency as a number of players would likely hit the market between years 8-10.
I look forward to hearing your thoughts.
